Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Podlasie Biała Podlaska		Stal Kraśnik

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.55	3.9
	1.75	3.63	3.76
	1.77	3.74	3.85	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.69	3.75	4.12	Watch
	2.26	3.41	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.26)	3.58 ↑ (3.41)	3.68 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
49.8%

Draw
25.4%

Stal Kraśnik
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podlasie Biała Podlaska's performance.

Stal Kraśnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stal Kraśnik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podlasie Biała Podlaska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Kraśnik than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stal Kraśnik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Stal Kraśnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biała Podlaska won 1.

Biała Podlaska has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Stal Kraśnik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Biała Podlaska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Biała Podlaska won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.8:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Biała Podlaska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.7:3.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10:13	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.05.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:5 ✺
08.05.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Cracovia 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWWT
- Stal Kraśnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.05.26	Stal Kraśnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Cracovia 2 - Stal Kraśnik	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Stal Kraśnik - Wisłoka Dębica	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Czarni Połaniec - Stal Kraśnik	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Stal Kraśnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.25	Stal Kraśnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:1
03.06.21	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Stal Kraśnik	1:3
29.11.20	Stal Kraśnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	4:1
31.08.19	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Stal Kraśnik	1:5
31.03.19	Stal Kraśnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	3:1
25.08.18	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Stal Kraśnik	0:3

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