Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów		Podlasie Biała Podlaska

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.30	2.85
	2.11	3.33	2.96
	2.14	3.52	2.93	Watch
	2.08	3.25	2.90
	2.17	3.72	2.85	Watch
	2.55	3.45	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.54)	3.43 ↑ (3.41)	2.79 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
41.2%

Draw
26.4%

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów's performance.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Podlasie Biała Podlaska might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów - Podlasie Biała Podlaska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ploshchynskyi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Masar M. ⚽,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 16th in the Relegation).

Lubaczów is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Biała Podlaska has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Lubaczów has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lubaczów against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Biala Podlaska	14	3	4	7	11:20	-9	13
17	Lubaczow	14	3	2	9	14:26	-12	11

Last Results with these Odds

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
17.10.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	4:0 ✺
10.10.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wieczysta II	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	JKS Jarosław - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
17.10.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wiślanie Skawina	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	4:0 ✺
01.10.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.05.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:3
11.10.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:3
29.03.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:2
31.08.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	3:0

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