Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Poggibonsi		SanGiovanniValdarno

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.74	3.22	4.51
	1.74	3.22	4.52
	1.91	2.88	3.75
	1.72	3.38	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.2)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)	4.27 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poggibonsi
50.5%

Draw
28.5%

SanGiovanniValdarno
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.8%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.7%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poggibonsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poggibonsi's performance.

SanGiovanniValdarno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SanGiovanniValdarno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poggibonsi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SanGiovanniValdarno than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SanGiovanniValdarno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poggibonsi won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Poggibonsi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Poggibonsi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Poggibonsi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
10.12.23	Cenaia - Poggibonsi	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Poggibonsi - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.11.23	Livorno - Poggibonsi	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.11.23	Poggibonsi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLLT
- ASD SanGiovanniValdarno
Italian Serie D - Group E
10.12.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Livorno	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Cenaia	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Figline - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Seravezza Pozzi	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Follonica Gavorrano - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
19.02.23	Poggibonsi - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:3
16.10.22	SanGiovanniValdarno - Poggibonsi	1:1
14.04.22	Poggibonsi - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:0
05.12.21	SanGiovanniValdarno - Poggibonsi	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.12.16	Poggibonsi - SanGiovanniValdarno	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group E
03.04.16	SanGiovanniValdarno - Poggibonsi	0:3

Poggibonsi - SanGiovanniValdarno

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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