The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Poggibonsi 50.5%
Draw 28.5%
SanGiovanniValdarno 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
29.8%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
28.7%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poggibonsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poggibonsi's performance.
SanGiovanniValdarno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SanGiovanniValdarno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poggibonsi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SanGiovanniValdarno than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SanGiovanniValdarno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Poggibonsi won 1.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Poggibonsi will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Poggibonsi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Poggibonsi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.