Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 19Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
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Follonica Gavorrano |
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Poggibonsi |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.08 |
3.4 |
2.98 |
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2.15 |
3.5 |
3.07 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.12) |
3.45
(3.45) |
3.03 ↑
(3.03) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Follonica Gavorrano
43.2% | Draw
26.5% | Poggibonsi
30.2% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Follonica Gavorrano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Poggibonsi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-0.8%) 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+8', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 2.Recent performances by Follonica Gavorrano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Poggibonsi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Follonica Gavorrano could have a small edge in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.2:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Follonica Gavorrano won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Follonica Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Follonica Gavorrano - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.25%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 27.04.25 | Poggibonsi - Follonica Gavorrano | 0:0 | | 15.12.24 | Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi | 2:0 | | 26.11.23 | Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi | 2:0 | | 14.05.23 | Poggibonsi - Follonica Gavorrano | 2:1 | | 05.02.23 | Poggibonsi - Follonica Gavorrano | 4:4 | | 02.10.22 | Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi | 2:1 | | 28.05.22 | Poggibonsi - Follonica Gavorrano | 4:2 |
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