Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 31

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Jarota Jarocin

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.57	4.4	4.04
	1.59	4.15	4.65	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2)	4.09 ↑ (3.9)	4.07 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
55.5%

Draw
22.2%

Jarota Jarocin
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

23.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

22.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's performance.

Jarota Jarocin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jarota Jarocin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarota Jarocin than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jarota Jarocin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Jarota is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
24.05.23	Vineta Wolin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:3 ✺
20.05.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Sokół Kleczew	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Unia Solec Kujawski - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Swit Skolwin	4:2 ✺
28.04.23	Stolem Gniewino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWL
- Jarota Jarocin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
24.05.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Jarota Jarocin	2:2 ✺
20.05.23	Jarota Jarocin - Vineta Wolin	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Sokół Kleczew - Jarota Jarocin	7:1 ✺
06.05.23	Jarota Jarocin - Unia Solec Kujawski	3:0 ✺
28.04.23	Swit Skolwin - Jarota Jarocin	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.10.22	Jarota Jarocin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1
30.04.22	Jarota Jarocin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:3
25.09.21	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Jarota Jarocin	1:0

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Jarota Jarocin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide