Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Pogoń Siedlce		Stomil Olsztyn

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.9	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.92	3.4	4.05
	1.88	3.39	4.06
	1.8	3.25	3.75
	1.84	3.3	4.01	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.8)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)	3.85 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
49%

Draw
27.2%

Stomil Olsztyn
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Stomil Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Pogoń Siedlce - Stomil Olsztyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burek J. (G) 14. Burka D. 56. Demianiuk C. 23. Derlatka H. 31. Dzieciol E. 43. Hrnciar L. 3. Majewski R. 10. Mis K. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C) 91. Walczak T.	30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 77. Florek B. 50. Karlikowski M. 4. Kosmicki I. 9. Kurbiel P. 23. Laskowski F. 14. Szabaciuk F. 17. Szramowski L. 26. Walencik B. 11. Wojcik F. 10. Zwir K. (C)
Substitutes
27. Babor D. 20. Bujalski C. 55. Karwot M. 97. Kowynia J. (G) 21. Majewski M. 17. Milasius T. 9. Nowak D. 26. Okusami J. 99. Wicenciak B.	21. Arai K. 27. Brikner I. 74. Drabiszczak M. 1. Jakubowski L. (G) 7. Krawczun H. 3. Kuban L. 8. Retlewski D. . Sadowski H. 29. Tuleja R.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Stomil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Pogoń Siedlce have a series of guest games.

In this match Pogoń Siedlce is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
09.03.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3 ✺
01.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Siedlce	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Legionovia Legionowo	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLTW
- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 2
09.03.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:1 ✺
04.03.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Wisła Puławy	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Stomil Olsztyn - ŁKS Łomża	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
05.08.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0
08.04.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Pogoń Siedlce	4:0
03.09.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0
Polish Division 1
07.04.18	Stomil Olsztyn - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2
09.09.17	Pogoń Siedlce - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0
29.04.17	Stomil Olsztyn - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
02.10.16	Pogoń Siedlce - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0

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