Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów		Busko-Zdrój

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.80	4.10
	1.69	3.88	3.78
	1.62	4.14	4.25	Watch
	1.67	3.80	3.70
	1.71	4.21	3.85	Watch
	1.79	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)	3.93 ↑ (3.6)	3.85 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
53.6%

Draw
23%

Busko-Zdrój
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

23.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Busko-Zdrój has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busko-Zdrój than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów - Busko Zdrój Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Khromykh Y. ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, Khromykh Y. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Lubaczów might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Busko-Zdroj	11	4	2	5	17:21	-4	14
18	Lubaczow	12	2	2	8	12:22	-10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.09.26	Czarni Połaniec - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Hetman Zamość	4:2 ✺
23.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wisła II Kraków	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL
- AKS Busko-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Wiślanie Skawina	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Busko-Zdrój	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Star Starachowice - Busko-Zdrój	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Busko-Zdrój - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTLL

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