Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów		Sandecja Nowy Sącz

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.1	1.56
	4.44	4.19	1.6
	4.12	4.2	1.64
	4.6	4.1	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.45)	4.15 ↑ (3.83)	1.59 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
20.6%

Draw
22%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

23.3%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

23.1%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów's form might have worsened.

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sandecja Nowy Sącz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sandecja Nowy Sącz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
21', 0 - 1, Wolsztynski R. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Wilczynski J. ⚽,
26', 0 - 3, Wilczynski J. ⚽,
36', 0 - 4, Wolsztynski R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+8', 1 - 4, ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.10.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:4 ✺
12.10.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wiązownica	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Lewart Lubartów - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTW
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.10.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Unia Tarnów	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Korona Kielce 2	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Cracovia	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WWWLW

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