Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 25

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Olimpia Zambrów		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.46	3.32	2.46
	2.47	3.32	2.46
	2.6	3.53	2.42	Watch
	2.47	3.45	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.65)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	2.43 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Zambrów
36.4%

Draw
26.5%

Unia Skierniewice
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.8%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Unia Skierniewice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unia Skierniewice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Korczak M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Papikyan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', Stepien M. 🟥,
87', 1 - 2, Cegielka M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.04.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Olimpia Zambrów	0:5 ✺
30.03.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Mławianka Mława - Olimpia Zambrów	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Concordia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Broń Radom - Olimpia Zambrów	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWWL
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.04.24	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Bełchatów	3:2 ✺
29.03.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Unia Skierniewice	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Unia Skierniewice - Legionovia Legionowo	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Wikielec - Unia Skierniewice	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Unia Skierniewice - Warta Sieradz	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.09.23	Unia Skierniewice - Olimpia Zambrów	1:1
04.03.23	Unia Skierniewice - Olimpia Zambrów	0:1
06.08.22	Olimpia Zambrów - Unia Skierniewice	0:0
08.08.20	Olimpia Zambrów - Unia Skierniewice	2:0
19.10.19	Olimpia Zambrów - Unia Skierniewice	2:4
27.04.19	Unia Skierniewice - Olimpia Zambrów	2:1
08.09.18	Olimpia Zambrów - Unia Skierniewice	1:0

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