Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 4

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Warta Sieradz

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	6.75
	1.34	4.75	6.47
	1.34	4.95	7.3	Watch
	1.35	4.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.48)	4.75 ↓ (4.8)	6.68 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
67.4%

Draw
19.1%

Warta Sieradz
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

19.3%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

18.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Warta Sieradz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (+4%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Warta Sieradz has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.08.23	Victoria Sulejówek - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	6:1 ✺
12.07.23	ŁKS Łódź II - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLWW
- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.08.23	Warta Sieradz - Unia Skierniewice	1:5 ✺
12.08.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Warta Sieradz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Kluczbork - Warta Sieradz	4:1 ✺
15.07.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Warta Sieradz	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.03.23	Warta Sieradz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:5
13.08.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	3:1

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