Match Info

Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski (Chorzów) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	14:30	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.00	5.25
	1.51	4.20	5.25
	1.52	3.90	4.80
	1.51	4.52	6.11
	1.62	4.19	4.84	Watch
	1.47	4.45	6.00
	1.54	4.17	5.48
	1.45	4.15	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.63)	4.2 ↑ (3.91)	5.33 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
60.8%

Draw
21.9%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.8%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wrabel J. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 17. Lukic A. 3. del Moral A. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 6. Chrapek M. 7. Kristan J. 21. Szwedzik P. 95. Szczepan D. 10. Sutherland T.	1. Kaminski K. (G) 2. Glogowski K. 99. Koprowski O. 17. Niewiadomski J. 15. Niski N. 21. Los K. 4. Ruszkiewicz M. 23. Ciepiela B. 42. Zbrog J. 20. Oshafi A. 10. Jaron D. (C)
Substitutes
82. Bielecki J. (G) 99. Coscia A. 24. Komor A. 18. Nagamatsu S. 9. Pawlowski M. 5. Rosol M. 88. Rostek K. 25. Ventura D. 14. Wojcik F.	3. Dembek B. 25. Glacel M. (G) 8. Gulczynski G. 7. Jedrasik J. 11. Kargulewicz K. . Maczka M. 68. Miazgowski J. 19. Turski H. 14. Uzoigwe H.
Coaches
Fornalik W.	Kafarski T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Chrapek M. ⚽, Szwedzik P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Szczepan D. ⚽, Szwedzik P. (A),
61', Ruszkiewicz M. ↓, Uzoigwe H. ↑,
61', Szczepan D. ↓, Coscia A. ↑,
69', Jaron D. ↓, Turski H. ↑,
69', Niewiadomski J. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
69', Zbrog J. ↓, Dembek B. ↑,
70', Szwedzik P. ↓, Nagamatsu S. ↑,
82', Ciepiela B. 🟨,
84', Chrapek M. ↓, Ventura D. ↑,
84', Sutherland T. ↓, Rostek K. ↑,
86', Niski N. ↓, Miazgowski J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Ruch Chorzów carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ruch Chorzów has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 2.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ruch Chorzów against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 3:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ruch Chorzow	12	6	3	3	16:11	5	21

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Ruch Chorzow: 8.98%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
16.10.26	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	3:0 ✺
11.10.26	ŁKS Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Ruch Chorzów - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
18.09.26	Polonia Bytom - Ruch Chorzów	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ruch Chorzów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLTT
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
17.10.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	7:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.09.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Unia Skierniewice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
27.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2
17.10.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów	2:2
Polish Division 2
12.03.22	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	4:1
28.08.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów	1:1

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