The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stal Mielec 41.7%
Draw 26.4%
GKS Tychy 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
25.9%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
24.9%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
10%
30%
Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 6 - 60%). GKS Tychy will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Stal Mielec (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Gostomski M. (G) 20. Szeliga B. 2. Szala D. 44. Puerto I. 5. Matynia H. 18. Wlazlo P. (C) 24. Nunez C. 6. Pisek J. 90. Kruszelnicki P. 25. Fucak K. 78. Cybulski K.
39. Madrzyk J. (G) 4. Lipkowski K. 3. Teclaw J. 2. Silva L. 21. Machowski K. 30. Wuwer J. 10. Listkowski M. 7. Sandoval D. 92. Kadzior D. (C) 20. Krawczyk P. 24. Baranski B.
Substitutes
33. Bukowski A. 32. Gerbowski F. 22. Kavcic M. 71. Kowalski J. 88. Lukic D. 1. Matys M. (G) 11. Odolak K. 15. Senger M. 70. Tsykalo Y.
15. Bieronski J. 11. Blachewicz M. 47. Jankowski B. 31. Kolotylo K. (G) 29. Lysiak P. 9. Rumin D. 18. Stefansson O. 8. Szpakowski M. 90. Welniak K.
Coaches
Mamrot I.
Piszczek L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
11', Pisek J. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Kruszelnicki P. ⚽, Nunez C. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Cybulski K. ⚽, Kruszelnicki P. (A),
28', 3 - 0, Nunez C. ⚽, Cybulski K. (A),
38', Wuwer J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sandoval D. ↓, Blachewicz M. ↑,
46', Lipkowski K. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
48', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
48', Listkowski M. 🟨,
58', Wuwer J. ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
58', Listkowski M. ↓, Szpakowski M. ↑,
62', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
68', 4 - 0, Gerbowski F. ⚽,
71', Cybulski K. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
71', Pisek J. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
73', Krawczyk P. ↓, Rumin D. ↑,
75', Szpakowski M. 🟨,
80', Nunez C. ↓, Tsykalo Y. ↑,
81', Fucak K. ↓, Lukic D. ↑,
90+3', Baranski B. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 2.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Recently, Stal Mielec has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).