Match Info

Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)

Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Siedlce		Chrobry Głogów

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.63
	2.4	3.2	2.7
	2.48	3.15	2.78	Watch
	2.58	3.3	3
	2.5	3.19	2.85	Watch
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.54	3.17	2.78
	2.5	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.52)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	2.78 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
37.3%

Draw
29.5%

Chrobry Głogów
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chrobry will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 2. Mis K. 3. Dembek B. 6. Flis M. 14. Jakubik D. 31. Dzieciol E. 16. Poczobut B. 39. Rosolek M. 13. Podlinski K. 29. Niezgoda J. 56. Demianiuk C. (C)	99. Arndt D. (G) 28. Lis J. 18. Mazur M. 8. Gric J. 21. Kozajda M. 23. Lewkot S. 16. Mandrysz R. (C) 30. Bartlewicz S. 15. Nowakowski K. 27. Laskowski K. 11. Strozik S.
Substitutes
10. Drag M. 11. Famulak M. 26. Kolodziejski M. 4. Misiak P. 41. Pakulski D. 7. Szuprytowski D. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 27. Zbrog J. 95. Zielonka N.	5. Bak R. 77. Bartolewski M. 7. Bonecki S. 17. Ibe-Torti K. 95. Lenarcik P. (G) 9. Ozimek M. 72. Szablowski J. 29. Tupaj P. 44. Zarowny A.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Becella L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Lis J. ⚽, Kozajda M. (A),
22', Lewkot S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Nowakowski K. ⚽, Kozajda M. (A),
55', Demianiuk C. ↓, Famulak M. ↑,
55', Niezgoda J. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
55', Poczobut B. ↓, Drag M. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Drag M. ⚽, Rosolek M. (A),
63', Bartlewicz S. ↓, Ibe-Torti K. ↑,
75', Laskowski K. ↓, Ozimek M. ↑,
75', Lewkot S. ↓, Bonecki S. ↑,
77', Strozik S. 🟨,
86', Dzieciol E. ↓, Szuprytowski D. ↑,
90+1', Jakubik D. 🟨,
90+2', Strozik S. ↓, Bak R. ↑,
90+3', Nowakowski K. 🟨,
90+5', Jakubik D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pogoń Siedlce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Chrobry Glogow: 0.41% Pogon Siedlce: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Chrobry Glogow	9	3	3	3	11:8	3	12
10	Pogon Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9:7	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
15.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLTTW
- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
13.03.26	Chrobry Głogów - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Miedź Legnica - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	ŁKS Łódź - Chrobry Głogów	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
12.09.25	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
01.12.24	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0
20.07.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	1:2
Polish Cup
20.10.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	3:1
30.10.18	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	1:2
Polish Division 1
11.04.18	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Siedlce	3:1
28.08.17	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	1:1

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