The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pogoń Tczew 41.6%
Draw 23.4%
Medyk Konin 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
21.7%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
20.9%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Tczew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Tczew's form might have worsened.
Medyk Konin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Medyk Konin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Tczew than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Tczew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Medyk Konin than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Medyk Konin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pogoń Tczew - Medyk Konin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Banaszkiewicz A. (G) 98. Andrzejewska W. 26. Golec M. 14. Katowicz O. 11. Korda M. 5. Nowak K. 87. Tobiczyk K. 80. Tryka M. (C) 89. Wierzbinska B. 20. Witczak A. 28. Wziatek M.
38. Castaneda S. (G) 10. Aristodimou E. 8. Budzinska N. 14. Jasniak O. 4. Kogutek Z. 23. Krupa N. 6. Mierzejewska M. 16. Oshobukola O. S. 27. Pouliou G. 17. Savoy S. 7. Ziemba P. (C)
Substitutes
21. Czarnecka N. 2. Drzewiecka M. 12. Enjo Y. 15. Jedrzejewska J. 71. Kalun M. 18. Rembalska A. 33. Sobierajska E. 4. Zielinska J.
12. Bierylo A. 21. Lizik L. 5. Mikucka G. 15. Niit E. 18. Sikora P. 30. Sworska L. 11. Urna K. 25. Wlodarek P. 33. Wozniak J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Ziemba P. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Nowak K. ⚽,
15', Mierzejewska M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Aristodimou E. ⚽,
40', Witczak A. 🟨,
41', Kogutek Z. 🟨,
42', Ziemba P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Katowicz O. ↓, Sobierajska E. ↑,
46', Tobiczyk K. ↓, Jedrzejewska J. ↑,
50', 1 - 3, Jasniak O. ⚽,
58', Wziatek M. ↓, Enjo Y. ↑,
58', Wierzbinska B. ↓, Drzewiecka M. ↑,
75', Andrzejewska W. ↓, Kalun M. ↑,
76', Aristodimou E. 🟨,
77', Mierzejewska M. ↓, Sikora P. ↑,
82', Ziemba P. ↓, Bierylo A. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Kalun M. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 3, Sobierajska E. ⚽,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
Pogoń Tczew has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Medyk Konin is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Medyk Konin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Pogoń Tczew won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Tczew won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-12.