The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pogradeci 56.8%
Draw 28.7%
Apolonia Fier 14.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
28.4%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
27.8%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Apolonia Fier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Apolonia Fier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Pogradeci - Apolonia Fier Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 1.
Pogradeci is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Apolonia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Pogradeci is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Pogradeci will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogradeci won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
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