Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 9

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadiumi Loni Papuciu (Fier) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	13:00	FIFA+


	Apolonia Fier		Iliria

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.05	3.85
	1.84	3.13	4.21	Watch
	2.07	3	3.66
	1.73	3.14	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.99 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apolonia Fier
48%

Draw
29.4%

Iliria
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

30.4%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apolonia Fier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Iliria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apolonia Fier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Apolonia Fier - Iliria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
85', Stafa E. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ))

Apolonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Iliria is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Iliria has had a series of home games.

In this match, Apolonia is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apolonia Fier
Albanian First Division
24.10.25	Lushnja - Apolonia Fier	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Apolonia Fier - Burreli	1:2 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Apolonia Fier - Besëlidhja Lezhë	3:0 ✺
Albanian First Division
03.10.25	Laçi - Apolonia Fier	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Apolonia Fier - Kastrioti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWTW
- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
24.10.25	Iliria - Korabi Peshkopi	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Kastrioti - Iliria	1:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Iliria - Luzi United	5:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
04.10.25	Iliria - Besa Kavajë	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Iliria - Kukësi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
29.10.26	Iliria - Flamurtari Vlorë	✺

Apolonia Fier - Iliria