Match Info
Kategoria e Parë - Round 33Date: 3 May 2026, SundayLocation: Stadiumi Loni Papuciu (Fier)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Apolonia Fier |
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Burreli |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.5 |
3.65 |
5.9 |
 Watch |
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1.26 |
4.88 |
8.85 |
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1.74 |
3.39 |
4.36 |
Watch |
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1.25 |
4.4 |
12 |
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1.3 |
4.85 |
9.69 |
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2.08 |
3.1 |
3.14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(2.2) |
4.05 ↑
(3.1) |
7.32 ↑
(3.16) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Apolonia Fier
63.1% | Draw
23.7% | Burreli
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Apolonia Fier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Apolonia Fier's performance.Burreli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burreli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (-26.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apolonia Fier that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (+19.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burreli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Apolonia Fier - Burreli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Alhassan K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 3)
- 52', 0 - 2, Hoti R. ⚽,
- 54', 0 - 3, Xhabrahimi A. ⚽,
- 61', 0 - 4, Fetaj P. ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 4, Arroyo S. ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 4, Ndubuisi E. ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 4, Kudamo C. ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 4, Ndubuisi E. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 1.In recent matches, Apolonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Burreli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Burreli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Apolonia could have a small edge in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Apolonia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Burreli | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Albanian First Division | | | 17.01.26 | Burreli - Apolonia Fier | 2:0 | | 19.10.25 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 1:2 | | 23.02.25 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 0:0 | | Albanian Cup | | | 20.11.24 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 3:1 | | Albanian First Division | | | 21.10.24 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 1:1 | | 28.09.23 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 3:0 | | 06.11.22 | Burreli - Apolonia Fier | 1:1 |
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