Match Info

Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Katowice (Katowice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	18:00	Viaplay


	Poland U21		Sweden U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	4.60	5.75
	1.49	4.30	5.40
	1.44	5.28	6.15
	1.58	4.49	4.82	Watch
	1.42	5.20	5.70
	1.49	4.70	5.48	Watch
	1.38	4.60	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	4.74 ↑ (3.75)	5.56 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland U21
63.7%

Draw
19.6%

Sweden U21
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poland U21's performance.

Sweden U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Poland U21 - Sweden U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubik M. (G) Wisla 19. Krajewski M. Widzew Lodz 4. Matysik M. Aris Limassol 5. Ede B. Dep. A Coruna 3. Gurgul M. Lech Poznan 8. Kowalczyk M. GKS Katowice 14. Oyedele M. Strasbourg 17. Drachal D. Jagiellonia 11. Mazurek B. Salzburg 10. Pienko T. (C) Rakow Czestochowa 9. Mikolajewski D. Luzern	1. Jager E. (G) Vasteras SK 2. Herdonsson A. Horsens 3. Amoran P. (C) Vasteras SK 4. Samuelsson O. Hacken 5. Tolf N. IFK Goteborg 8. Svensson V. Sirius 10. Kanga J. Motherwell 6. Geiger Y. AIK 7. Jonsson N. Sirius 9. Omorowa R. Jong Utrecht 11. Njie A. Fiorentina
Substitutes
20. Bak D. Korona Kielce 15. Kocaba F. Zaglebie 16. Krzyzanowski J. Wisla 2. Lesniak-Paduch N. Ruch Chorzow 13. Luberecki F. Motor Lublin 23. Stalmach D. Werder Bremen 21. Urbanski W. Legia 7. Zewlakow J. Legia 22. Zych O. (G) Vitoria Guimaraes	15. Gunnarsson K. Vasteras SK 20. Gustafsson S. AIK 12. Krantz T. (G) Norrkoping 13. Olofsson W. AIK 17. Oppong S. Toulouse 19. Ostman L. Elfsborg 14. Palsson M. Malmo FF 18. Rosenqvist C. Djurgarden 16. Sernelius N. Norrkoping
Coaches
Brzeczek J.	Backstrom D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Svensson V. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Mazurek B. ⚽, Pienko T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Kanga J. 🟨,
57', Omorowa R. ↓, Ostman L. ↑,
57', Kanga J. ↓, Gunnarsson K. ↑,
57', Jonsson N. ↓, Rosenqvist C. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Mazurek B. ⚽, Mikolajewski D. (A),
60', Mikolajewski D. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
60', Drachal D. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
68', Oyedele M. ↓, Kocaba F. ↑,
72', Njie A. ↓, Oppong S. ↑,
73', Krajewski M. 🟨,
85', Matysik M. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
85', Mazurek B. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
87', Herdonsson A. ↓, Olofsson W. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Bak D. ⚽, Krajewski M. (A),

Preview

Poland U21 carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Poland U21 has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:5 (averaging 2.2:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland U21
UEFA Euro U21
31.03.26	Montenegro U21 - Poland U21	0:1 ✺
18.11.25	North Macedonia U21 - Poland U21	0:1 ✺
14.11.25	Poland U21 - Italy U21	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Sweden U21 - Poland U21	0:6 ✺
10.10.25	Poland U21 - Montenegro U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWW
- Sweden U21
Friendly
04.06.26	Sweden U21 - Finland U21	1:3 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
31.03.26	Sweden U21 - Italy U21	0:4 ✺
27.03.26	Sweden U21 - Montenegro U21	2:2 ✺
18.11.25	Armenia U21 - Sweden U21	0:1 ✺
13.11.25	North Macedonia U21 - Sweden U21	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
14.10.25	Sweden U21 - Poland U21	0:6
19.06.17	Poland U21 - Sweden U21	2:2
Friendly
08.09.15	Poland U21 - Sweden U21	0:0
UEFA Euro U21
12.10.13	Poland U21 - Sweden U21	2:0
06.09.13	Sweden U21 - Poland U21	3:1

Poland U21 - Sweden U21