Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 1 March 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Kigali |
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Etincelles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.08 |
2.88 |
3.55 |
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 |
1.97 |
2.97 |
3.81 |
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2 |
2.75 |
3.75 |
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2 |
3.08 |
3.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.09) |
2.92 ↑
(2.83) |
3.75 ↑
(3.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kigali
44.9% | Draw
31% | Etincelles
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Etincelles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (+0.9%)Kigali - Etincelles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Kigali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Etincelles has had a series of home games. Kigali might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.3:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 7 |
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| 16 | Kigali FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 03.01.26 | Etincelles - Kigali | 0:1 | | 19.05.25 | Kigali - Etincelles | 2:2 | | 07.01.25 | Etincelles - Kigali | 1:0 | | 06.12.23 | Etincelles - Kigali | 4:2 | | 24.02.23 | Etincelles - Kigali | 2:2 | | 19.08.22 | Kigali - Etincelles | 2:0 | | 17.04.22 | Kigali - Etincelles | 2:2 |
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