Match Info
Premier League - Round 24Date: 21 April 2026, TuesdayLocation: Kiira Road Police Arena (Kampala)
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Police |
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Uganda Revenue Authority SC |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.88 |
3.2 |
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 |
2.21 |
2.8 |
3.38 |
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 |
2.25 |
2.85 |
3.36 |
 Watch |
 |
2.25 |
2.7 |
3.25 |
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 |
2.34 |
3.12 |
3.01 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.87) |
2.87 ↓
(3.2) |
3.24 ↓
(3.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Police
40.3% | Draw
31.6% | Uganda Revenue Authority SC
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.Uganda Revenue Authority SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uganda Revenue Authority SC than the current prediction. (-4.2%)Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Lubwama J. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Tezikya L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 70', 2 - 1, Ikamba B. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.Police is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).URA SC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).URA SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Police is a strong favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).Including home matches between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
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| 14 | URA SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 31.01.26 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Police | 0:0 | | 25.04.25 | Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 2:0 | | 07.01.25 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Police | 1:0 | | 30.11.21 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Police | 0:0 | | 15.05.21 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Police | 3:1 | | 09.03.21 | Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 0:2 |
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