Match Info
Premier League - Round 18Date: 3 March 2026, TuesdayLocation: Kiira Road Police Arena (Kampala)
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Police |
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Bul |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.68 |
3.25 |
4.75 |
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1.9 |
3.05 |
3.97 |
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1.85 |
3.16 |
4.26 |
Watch |
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1.91 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
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1.81 |
3.04 |
4.56 |
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1.62 |
3.1 |
5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↑ (1.77) |
3.08 ↓ (3.3) |
4.39 ↓ (4.54) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Police 50.2% | Draw 29.2% | Bul 20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Bul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bul than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Police - Bul Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', 0 - 1, Orit I. ⚽,
- 90', 0 - 2, Orit I. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)Both teams have been playing unpredictably. In this match, Police is a strong favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 12 |
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| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 16.12.25 | Bul - Police | 1:3 | | 16.04.25 | Bul - Police | 0:0 | | 16.09.24 | Police - Bul | 0:0 | | 22.10.21 | Bul - Police | 2:1 | | 16.02.21 | Police - Bul | 2:0 |
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