Match Info
Premier League - Round 20Date: 10 March 2026, TuesdayLocation: Kiira Road Police Arena (Kampala)
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Police |
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Villa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.62 |
2.92 |
2.58 |
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2.65 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
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2.7 |
2.85 |
2.7 |
 Watch |
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2.63 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
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2.65 |
2.75 |
2.69 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.6) |
2.76 ↓
(2.98) |
2.67 ↑
(2.53) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Police
33.9% | Draw
32.5% | Villa
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Police - Villa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Tezikya L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 0.Recent performances by Police have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Villa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Villa has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Police won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 11 |
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| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 24.10.25 | Villa - Police | 2:1 | | 13.12.24 | Villa - Police | 1:1 | | 02.05.22 | Police - Villa | 0:0 | | 29.10.21 | Villa - Police | 1:0 | | 19.05.21 | Police - Villa | 1:1 | | 06.03.21 | Villa - Police | 2:2 |
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