Match Info
Premier League - Round 21Date: 13 March 2026, FridayLocation: Kiira Road Police Arena (Kampala)
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Police |
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NEC FC |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.15 |
2.98 |
3.2 |
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2.4 |
2.98 |
2.73 |
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2.45 |
3.06 |
2.79 |
 Watch |
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2.4 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
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2.41 |
2.99 |
2.75 |
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2 |
2.97 |
3.53 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.04) |
2.96 ↓
(3) |
2.97 ↓
(3.76) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Police
39.2% | Draw
30.4% | NEC FC
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC FC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Police - NEC FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 68', 0 - 1, Ssenoga M. K. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)In recent matches, Police has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).NEC is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). Police will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Police won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).Including home match between the teams, Police won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | NEC FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 10 |
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| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 18.10.25 | NEC FC - Police | 2:2 | | 16.02.25 | Police - NEC FC | 1:1 | | 05.11.24 | NEC FC - Police | 0:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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