The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Police 25.2%
Draw 30.1%
Villa 44.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.1%
30.6%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
30.4%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Kasinde I. ⚽, Asiimwe J. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Asiimwe J. ⚽, Ssebuufu F. (A),
45+1', 0 - 3, Ssebuufu F. ⚽, Mpagi I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 0 - 4, Kakande P. ⚽,
58', 0 - 5, Ssebuufu F. ⚽, Kasinde I. (A),
82', 1 - 5, Ikamba B. ⚽,
85', 1 - 6, Sausa J. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.
In recent outings, Police has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Villa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Villa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Police has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Police against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 0.7:0.3 per game).
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