Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Kiira Road Police Arena (Kampala)


	Police		Mbarara City

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.10	5.50
	1.66	2.75	6.91
	1.67	2.97	6.28	Watch
	1.64	2.70	6.80
	1.66	3.63	4.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.46)	3.03 ↓ (3.8)	6.08 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police
55.1%

Draw
30%

Mbarara City
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

24.1%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.

Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, Mayanja I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.

In this match, Police is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Police won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Police won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Police	4	2	1	1	3:1	2	7
16	Mbarara City	4	0	2	2	0:2	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police FC Kampala
Ugandan Super League
12.05.26	Police - Vipers	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Police - UPDF	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Maroons - Police	3:1 ✺
21.04.26	Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Express - Police	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLWL
- Mbarara City FC
Ugandan Super League
13.05.26	Mbarara City - Villa	1:3 ✺
06.05.26	Lugazi Municipal - Mbarara City	0:1 ✺
28.04.26	Mbarara City - Express	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	NEC FC - Mbarara City	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	UPDF - Mbarara City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
26.09.25	Police - Mbarara City	1:1
10.04.25	Police - Mbarara City	2:0
20.09.24	Mbarara City - Police	0:0
12.04.22	Mbarara City - Police	3:0
26.11.21	Police - Mbarara City	0:0
22.05.21	Mbarara City - Police	1:0
03.03.21	Police - Mbarara City	3:1

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