Match Info
Premier League - Round 5Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Police FC |
|
Sofapaka |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.25 |
5.3 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3 |
3.88 |
|
 |
1.78 |
3.15 |
4.68 |
 Watch |
 |
1.87 |
3.1 |
4.26 |
|
 |
1.6 |
3.16 |
5.08 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.76) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
4.64 ↑
(4.59) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Police FC
51.1% | Draw
29.2% | Sofapaka
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The chances for Sofapaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Police FC - Sofapaka Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Sofapaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Police is a strong favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Police won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Police won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Police FC - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 51.24%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Kenyan Premier League | | | 02.02.25 | Police FC - Sofapaka | 1:1 | | 06.11.24 | Sofapaka - Police FC | 1:1 | | Kenyan FKF Cup | | | 27.04.24 | Police FC - Sofapaka | 4:0 | | Kenyan Premier League | | | 20.04.24 | Police FC - Sofapaka | 2:1 | | 21.10.23 | Sofapaka - Police FC | 1:0 | | 10.05.23 | Police FC - Sofapaka | 3:0 | | 21.12.22 | Sofapaka - Police FC | 1:1 |
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