Match Info

TANZANIA: LIGI KUU BARA - ROUND 14

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Polisi Tanzania		Simba

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.5	1.47
	6.5	3.75	1.45
	6.2	3.55	1.45
	6.9	3.72	1.48
	6.1	3.4	1.55
	6.6	3.7	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.47 ↓ (7.47)	3.6 ↓ (3.71)	1.48 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polisi Tanzania
14%

Draw
25.1%

Simba
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

24%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

23.2%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polisi Tanzania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polisi Tanzania than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polisi Tanzania - Simba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 3).

Polisi Tanzania is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Simba is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Polisi Tanzania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Simba is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polisi Tanzania won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Polisi Tanzania won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisi Tanzania FC
Tanzanian Premier League
21.11.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Polisi Tanzania	2:1 ✺
17.11.22	Singida Black Stars - Polisi Tanzania	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Polisi Tanzania - Singida Fountain Gate	0:1 ✺
01.11.22	Polisi Tanzania - Dodoma Jiji	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Prisons - Polisi Tanzania	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTL
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
23.11.22	Mbeya City - Simba	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Ruvu Shooting - Simba	0:4 ✺
16.11.22	Simba - Namungo	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Simba - Singida Black Stars	1:0 ✺
09.11.22	Singida Fountain Gate - Simba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
10.04.22	Polisi Tanzania - Simba	0:0
27.10.21	Simba - Polisi Tanzania	1:0
19.06.21	Polisi Tanzania - Simba	0:1
09.12.20	Simba - Polisi Tanzania	2:0
04.02.20	Simba - Polisi Tanzania	2:1

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