Match Info

TANZANIA: LIGI KUU BARA - ROUND 13

Date: 21 November 2022, Monday


	Mtibwa Sugar		Polisi Tanzania

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.08	2.8	3.7
	2.28	2.75	3.05
	2.44	2.83	3.05
	2.32	2.75	3.3
	2.34	2.8	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.09)	2.78 ↓ (2.81)	3.24 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtibwa Sugar
39.6%

Draw
32.5%

Polisi Tanzania
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

32.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

31.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Polisi Tanzania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mtibwa Sugar than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polisi Tanzania than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mtibwa Sugar - Polisi Tanzania Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mtibwa Sugar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Polisi Tanzania will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Polisi Tanzania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mtibwa Sugar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mtibwa Sugar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mtibwa Sugar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
16.11.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Coastal Union	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Azam	3:4 ✺
30.10.22	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	5:0 ✺
25.10.22	Dodoma Jiji - Mtibwa Sugar	0:1 ✺
18.10.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Singida Fountain Gate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLLWW
- Polisi Tanzania FC
Tanzanian Premier League
17.11.22	Singida Black Stars - Polisi Tanzania	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Polisi Tanzania - Singida Fountain Gate	0:1 ✺
01.11.22	Polisi Tanzania - Dodoma Jiji	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Prisons - Polisi Tanzania	2:0 ✺
19.10.22	Polisi Tanzania - Namungo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
25.05.22	Polisi Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar	2:0
21.12.21	Mtibwa Sugar - Polisi Tanzania	1:1
26.04.21	Mtibwa Sugar - Polisi Tanzania	1:2
24.11.20	Polisi Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0
10.03.20	Polisi Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0

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