Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 11

Date: 22 November 2023, Wednesday


	Polisportiva Vastogirardi		Campobasso

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	1.9
	4.16	3.16	1.81
	4.16	3.16	1.82
	4.2	3.18	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.42)	3.15 ↑ (3.13)	1.84 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polisportiva Vastogirardi
22.3%

Draw
28.6%

Campobasso
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

28.6%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

27.7%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polisportiva Vastogirardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Vastogirardi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Campobasso is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vastogirardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Campobasso will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vastogirardi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vastogirardi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisportiva Vastogirardi
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.11.23	Matese - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Termoli - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:2 ✺
01.11.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Chieti	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	United Riccione - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Notaresco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWLL
- Campobasso
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.11.23	Campobasso - Fossombrone	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Campobasso - Fano	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Avezzano - Campobasso	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Campobasso - Tivoli Calcio	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Sora - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
26.05.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Campobasso	0:2
23.12.20	Campobasso - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:2
22.12.19	Campobasso - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:2

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