Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 31

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Polonia Nysa		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.85	1.58
	3.83	3.6	1.78
	4.86	3.83	1.6
	4	3.25	1.73
	5.12	3.84	1.55	Watch
	5	4.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↓ (5)	3.81 ↓ (4.5)	1.61 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Nysa
19.9%

Draw
23.8%

Lechia Zielona Góra
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

19.7%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

19.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Nysa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Zielona Góra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Zielona Góra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Wiecek D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Polonia Nysa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zielona Góra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Zielona Góra is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia Nysa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Nysa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Nysa	11	2	2	7	12:24	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Nysa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
09.05.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polonia Nysa	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Polonia Nysa - Skra Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Słowianin Wolibórz	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Pniówek Pawłowice - Polonia Nysa	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTTL
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
09.05.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Sparta Katowice	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Słowianin Wolibórz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
25.10.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Nysa	1:1
24.05.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Nysa	1:1
22.10.22	Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra	4:1
12.06.21	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Nysa	2:2
22.11.20	Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:3

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