The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Polkowice 53.4%
Draw 23.8%
Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
25.9%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
26.6%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polkowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polkowice's performance.
Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polkowice that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polkowice won 3.
Polkowice is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Stilon Gorzów has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Polkowice for this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Polkowice has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:17 (averaging 2.7:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Polkowice against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 17:12 goals (averaging 2.4:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Stilon Gorzow
11
4
4
3
19:15
4
16
8
Polkowice
11
4
3
4
19:18
1
15
Last Results with these Odds
Polkowice - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 42.72%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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