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Current Win Probability
Polokwane City 22.6%
Draw 31.4%
Kaizer Chiefs 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.3%
33.6%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
34%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polokwane City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polokwane City's form might have worsened.
Kaizer Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaizer Chiefs's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polokwane City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polokwane City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaizer Chiefs than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaizer Chiefs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Polokwane City - Kaizer Chiefs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Masuluke O. (G) 42. Manthosi S. 22. Ramaja E. 34. Nkaki L. (C) 27. Modise M. 21. Kambala M. 14. Maphangule N. 25. Sebone K. 17. Dlamini B. 46. Matube T. 44. Molokwane T.
1. Petersen B. (C) 39. Frosler R. 84. Inacio Miguel 42. Moloisane T. 48. Cross B. 5. Mthethwa S. 6. Maboe L. 8. Ndlovu S. 28. Vilakazi M. 13. Mmodi P. 50. Ighodaro E.
Substitutes
47. Batlhabane M. M. 28. Mahlatsi L. 48. Mashele A. 16. Mashinini S. 35. Mnguni B. 37. Mosotho L. 5. Mvundlela M. 60. Ngwenya A. (G) 18. Philander G.
35. Abrahams F. 11. Baartman L. 22. Bitegeko A. 4. Kwinika Z. 16. Leaner R. (G) 29. Mako P. 7. Shabalala M. 18. Solomons D. 17. Velebayi A.
Coaches
Moloto W.
Da Cruz F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Maboe L. ⚽, Mmodi P. (A),
45+2', Manthosi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sebone K. ↓, Philander G. ↑,
53', Maphangule N. ↓, Mnguni B. ↑,
63', Mnguni B. 🟨,
67', Inacio Miguel ↓, Kwinika Z. ↑,
67', Ndlovu S. ↓, Bitegeko A. ↑,
72', Mmodi P. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Petersen B. (Own goal),
77', Ighodaro E. ↓, Baartman L. ↑,
77', Frosler R. ↓, Solomons D. ↑,
82', Vilakazi M. ↓, Abrahams F. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polokwane City won 1.
Recent form of Polokwane City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kaizer Chiefs has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Kaizer Chiefs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kaizer Chiefs has had a series of home games.
Kaizer Chiefs could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Polokwane City won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Polokwane City won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Kaizer Chiefs
7
3
4
0
12:7
5
13
11
Polokwane
7
1
4
2
8:10
-2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Polokwane City - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Kaizer Chiefs - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.09%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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Masuluke O. (G) 
Kambala M. 
Inacio Miguel 
Ighodaro E. 
Bitegeko A. 
Da Cruz F. 
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