Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 14

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday


	Polonia Bytom		Polonia Nysa

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.6	8.4
	1.22	5.6	8.71
	1.3	5	7.8	Watch
	1.29	4.8	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.45)	5.25 ↑ (4.6)	8.18 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
71.7%

Draw
17.2%

Polonia Nysa
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

19.8%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

18.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polonia Bytom's performance.

Polonia Nysa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Nysa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Nysa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

Polonia Bytom is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Polonia Nysa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Polonia Nysa have a series of home games.

In this match Polonia Bytom is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Polonia Bytom won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia Bytom won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 3 - Group III
22.10.22	Odra Wodzisław Śląski - Polonia Bytom	1:5 ✺
15.10.22	Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica 2	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Polonia Bytom - Kluczbork	2:0 ✺
01.10.22	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Polonia Bytom - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWTW
- Polonia Nysa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
22.10.22	Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra	4:1 ✺
15.10.22	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polonia Nysa	3:2 ✺
07.10.22	Polonia Nysa - Stal Brzeg	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Polonia Nysa - Ślęza Wrocław	0:3 ✺
24.09.22	Polonia Nysa - Raków Częstochowa II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.06.21	Polonia Nysa - Polonia Bytom	2:2
14.11.20	Polonia Bytom - Polonia Nysa	3:2

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