Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka (Bytom)

Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Polonia Bytom		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.65
	2.52	3.5	2.52	Watch
	2.66	3.65	2.52
	2.56	3.62	2.47	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.52	3.34	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.37)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	2.49 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
36.6%

Draw
26.5%

Polonia Warsaw
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.2%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.7%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Polonia Bytom - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Polonia Bytom (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Bytom (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banasik W. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 77. Szymanski J. 5. Matic M. 27. Apolinarski J. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. 16. Stefanski P. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 9. Wojtyra K. (C) 11. Andrzejczak K.	96. Kuchta M. (C) 20. Brasido D. 30. Cisse S. 16. Budnicki J. 99. Durmus I. 26. Gnaase D. 7. Vega D. 90. Kostorz K. 44. Piotrowski B. 17. Dadok R. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
13. Azatsky O. 4. Bakala M. 22. Calavera J. 20. Labedzki J. 21. Lukowski J. 10. Michalski K. 76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 7. Zielinski L.	77. Buksa A. 5. Hoxhallari E. 3. Salihu H. 1. Sandach A. (G) 4. Szur P. 24. Terpilowski E. 19. Vasin N. 18. Ziolkowski K.
Coaches
Mroz W.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Szymusik G. (Penalty Awarded),
23', Budnicki J. 🟨,
27', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Bakala M. ↑,
41', 2 - 0, Wojtyra K. ⚽, Bakala M. (A),
45+6', 2 - 1, Kostorz K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cisse S. ↓, Salihu H. ↑,
46', Brasido D. ↓, Terpilowski E. ↑,
56', 2 - 2, Zjawinski L. ⚽,
63', Durmus I. 🟨,
63', Stefanski P. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
74', Durmus I. ↓, Hoxhallari E. ↑,
77', Gajda T. 🟨,
81', Wojtyra K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
81', Matic M. ↓, Labedzki J. ↑,
81', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Zielinski L. ↑,
83', Kostorz K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Zielinski L. ⚽,
90', Zielinski L. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Polonia Bytom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Polonia Bytom has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Warszawa: 6.76% Polonia Bytom: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14:17	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
26.04.26	Odra Opole - Polonia Bytom	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Bytom	4:3 ✺
18.04.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Polonia Bytom - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLTT
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
25.04.26	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	0:4 ✺
06.04.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom	2:1
Polish Division 2
19.11.16	Polonia Bytom - Polonia Warsaw	1:1
31.07.16	Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom	0:3

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