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Current Win Probability
Polonia Warsaw 47.7%
Draw 27.2%
Chrobry Głogów 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
25.9%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
25%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ravas H. (G) 22. Olszewski P. 16. Budnicki J. 29. Marcjanik M. 20. Olafsson D. 6. Gnaase D. (C) 23. Skrabb S. 94. Paszkowski J. 27. Kowalczyk S. 99. Durmus I. 63. Barkovskiy G.
22. Bakowski K. (G) 21. Kozajda M. 8. Gric J. (C) 6. Czajka B. 77. Bartolewski M. 28. Lis J. 24. Grzelak K. 7. Ibe-Torti K. 15. Staszak W. 9. Ozimek M. 17. Sadiku A.
Substitutes
71. Jelen M. (G) 21. Kapusta A. 9. Kostorz K. 2. Kuusk M. 36. Makowski T. 26. Tabara K. 24. Terpilowski E. 7. Vega D. 8. Wojciechowski O.
5. Bak R. 33. Bukowski A. 99. Feratovic A. 47. Klimek A. 51. Rybak A. 10. Sharabura Y. 72. Szablowski K. 80. Tabis K. 1. Wroblewski K. (G)
Coaches
Stokowiec P.
Becella L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Staszak W. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Bak R. ↑,
59', Kozajda M. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Gnaase D. ⚽,
69', Grzelak K. ↓, Rybak A. ↑,
69', Sadiku A. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
71', Durmus I. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
71', Paszkowski J. ↓, Kapusta A. ↑,
77', Czajka B. 🟨,
78', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Terpilowski E. ↑,
81', Ozimek M. ↓, Sharabura Y. ↑,
86', Gric J. 🟨,
87', 2 - 0, Bukowski A. (Own goal),
88', Lis J. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
90+1', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th and 6th in the Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Chrobry may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Polonia holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Polonia has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:10 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Polonia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.8:1.5 per game).
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Polonia Warszawa: 6.76% Chrobry Glogow: 0.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Polonia Warszawa
9
4
2
3
15:12
3
14
9
Chrobry Glogow
9
3
3
3
11:8
3
12
Last Results with these Odds
Chrobry Głogów - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 22.93%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.