Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka (Bytom)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Bytom		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.85
	3.6	3.45	1.95	Watch
	3.87	3.68	2
	4.16	4.06	1.73
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.79	3.42	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.17	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	3.48 ↑ (3.17)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
24.7%

Draw
26.5%

Wisła Kraków
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

28%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

26.9%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Polonia Bytom - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banasik W. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 30. Krzyzak O. 5. Matic M. 27. Apolinarski J. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. 7. Zielinski L. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 9. Wojtyra K. 11. Andrzejczak K.	28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 34. Giger R. 6. Uryga A. (C) 5. Colley J. 2. Lelieveld J. 41. Duda K. 12. Igbekeme J. 51. Kuziemka M. 7. Ertlthaler J. 17. Bozic M. 10. Duarte F.
Substitutes
4. Bakala M. 20. Labedzki J. 21. Lukowski J. 10. Michalski K. 76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Stefanski P. 77. Szymanski J. 17. Wolkowicz K.	56. Baniowski F. 8. Carbo M. 31. Chichkan A. (G) 57. Kawala S. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 50. Kutwa M. 4. Mikulec R. 11. Nikaj A. 20. Omic E.
Coaches
Mroz W.	Jop M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Andrzejczak K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Kwiatkowski O. ⚽,
61', Kuziemka M. ↓, Nikaj A. ↑,
65', Apolinarski J. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
65', Wojtyra K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Bozic M. ⚽,
68', Nikaj A. 🟨,
76', Szymusik G. ↓, Szymanski J. ↑,
76', Lelieveld J. ↓, Krzyzanowski J. ↑,
84', Krzyzak O. ↓, Wolkowicz K. ↑,
84', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,
90+2', Igbekeme J. ↓, Omic E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Recent form of Polonia Bytom has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wisła's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Wisła is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Bytom: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14:17	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Kraków - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 47.41%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
07.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Polonia Bytom - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Polonia Bytom - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLLT
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
06.04.26	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Odra Opole - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Wisła Kraków - Miedź Legnica	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Wisła Kraków	Slask Wroclaw awarded ✺
01.03.26	Wisła Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTW?T

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Bytom	1:0
Club Friendly
12.07.23	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Bytom	0:2

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