Match Info

Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka (Bytom)

Referee: Paszkiewicz K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Bytom		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	4.75
	1.55	4.15	5.15	Watch
	1.61	4.02	4.65	Watch
	1.58	4.29	4.86	Watch
	1.63	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)	4.13 ↑ (3.93)	4.83 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
58.4%

Draw
22.4%

Znicz Pruszków
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

23.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Polonia Bytom - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Znicz will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Arak J.
22. Calavera J.
18. Gajda T.
1. Holewinski A. (G)
30. Krzyzak O.
15. Kwiatkowski O.
8. Labojko M.
77. Szymanski J.
14. Szymusik G.
29. Terlecki K.
7. Zielinski L.
Substitutes
11. Andrzejczak K.
27. Apolinarski J.
4. Bakala M.
21. Burkiewicz A.
5. Matic M.
35. Mazur K. (G)
10. Michalski K.
19. Sarmiento J.
9. Wojtyra K.
Coaches
. Tomczyk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Bak D. 🟨,
20', Koprowski O. 🟨,
26', Sokol D. 🟨,
32', Ciepiela B. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Arak J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ciepiela B. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
46', Sokol D. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
61', Calavera J. ↓, Apolinarski J. ↑,
61', Zielinski L. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
61', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Andrzejczak K. ↑,
65', Bak D. ↓, Karol M. ↑,
70', Labojko M. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
72', Koprowski O. ↓, Okhronchuk V. ↑,
75', Arak J. ↓, Wojtyra K. ↑,
78', Konieczny D. ↓, Nadolski A. ↑,
79', Nadolski A. 🟨,
86', Konieczny D. 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Wojtyra K. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Recent performances by Polonia Bytom have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Znicz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Polonia Bytom is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Znicz Pruszków - the odds 4.49 are the expected chance of winning is 20.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Goczałkowice Zdrój II - Polonia Bytom	0:7 ✺
Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Polonia Bytom - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Polonia Bytom - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLTTL
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Korona Kielce	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
24.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
02.04.16	Polonia Bytom - Znicz Pruszków	1:4
05.09.15	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Bytom	3:0

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