Match Info

Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Rasmus S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Znicz Pruszków		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.87
	3.45	3.55	1.95
	3.59	3.79	1.96
	1.21	6.24	11.66	Watch
	3.67	3.54	1.92
	3.35	3.4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.84)	3.95 ↑ (3.75)	3.31 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
35.9%

Draw
29.2%

Śląsk Wrocław
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

24.9%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

24.1%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Znicz Pruszków's performance.

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Śląsk Wrocław might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Znicz Pruszków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Śląsk Wrocław could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Znicz Pruszków - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: Śląsk Wrocław will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Śląsk Wrocław will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Misztal P. (C) 29. Bak D. 20. Borecki M. 10. Ciepiela B. 5. Jach J. 99. Koprowski O. 9. Majewski R. 11. Moskwik P. 14. Okhronchuk V. 80. Plewka P. 7. Sokol D.	25. Szromnik M. (G) 91. Banaszak P. 4. Dijakovic M. 78. Guercio T. 6. Halimi B. 8. Llinares M. 11. Marjanac L. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 81. Sokolowski P. 3. Szota S. (C) 15. Yriarte J.
Substitutes
19. Karol M. 25. Konieczny D. 21. Mak M. 53. Nadolski A. 1. Napieraj K. (G) 6. Pawlik M. 8. Proczek T. 77. Skladowski F. . Valencia J.	77. Ciucka A. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 29. Jezierski J. 47. Klimek A. 70. Kozak M. 44. Malec M. 27. Rosiak M. 24. Sharabura Y. 9. Warchol D.
Coaches
Struhar P.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Bak D. ⚽, Koprowski O. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Majewski R. ⚽, Sokol D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guercio T. ↓, Rosiak M. ↑,
46', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Banaszak P. ⚽, Dijakovic M. (A),
60', Sokolowski P. ↓, Warchol D. ↑,
61', Halimi B. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
69', Borecki M. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
78', Marjanac L. ↓, Sharabura Y. ↑,
82', Ciepiela B. ↓, Nadolski A. ↑,
90', Majewski R. ↓, Mak M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Znicz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Śląsk is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Śląsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Znicz Pruszków - the odds 3.84 are the expected chance of winning is 24.31%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
28.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Małapanew Ozimek - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.25	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	Stal Rzeszów - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Cup
30.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Śląsk Wrocław	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWWW

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