The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Polonia Warsaw 45.1%
Draw 26.5%
Polonia Bytom 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
24.2%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
23.3%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
72. Sandach A. (G) 22. Olszewski P. 16. Budnicki J. 29. Marcjanik M. 20. Olafsson D. 6. Gnaase D. (C) 23. Skrabb S. 94. Paszkowski J. 27. Kowalczyk S. 99. Durmus I. 63. Barkovskiy G.
1. Banasik W. (G) 77. Szymanski J. 30. Krzyzak O. 17. Wolkowicz K. 16. Stefanski P. 21. Kadziolka S. 8. Labojko M. 7. Zielinski L. 22. Orlik K. 9. Wojtyra K. (C) 11. Andrzejczak K.
Substitutes
17. Dadok R. 71. Jelen M. (G) 21. Kapusta A. 9. Kostorz K. 2. Kuusk M. 26. Tabara K. 24. Terpilowski E. 7. Vega D. 8. Wojciechowski O.
13. Gajgier A. 4. Malachowski A. 40. Mazur K. (G) 10. Michalski K. 5. Mioc B. 14. Szymusik G. 6. Wolski M. 26. Wziech M.
Coaches
Stokowiec P.
Gerega K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Marcjanik M. ⚽, Skrabb S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Andrzejczak K. ⚽,
66', Andrzejczak K. 🟨,
68', Skrabb S. ↓, Wojciechowski O. ↑,
68', Orlik K. ↓, Mioc B. ↑,
68', Stefanski P. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Andrzejczak K. ⚽,
76', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
76', Durmus I. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
79', Kadziolka S. ↓, Malachowski A. ↑,
82', Marcjanik M. 🟨,
85', Olszewski P. ↓, Terpilowski E. ↑,
85', Paszkowski J. ↓, Kapusta A. ↑,
88', Zielinski L. ↓, Wolski M. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Gnaase D. ⚽,
90+3', Labojko M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Polonia Bytom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Polonia has had a series of away games.
Polonia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Poland
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Sandach A. (G) 
Olafsson D. 
Gnaase D. (C) 
Skrabb S. 
Durmus I. 
Barkovskiy G. 
Kuusk M. 
Vega D. 
Mioc B. 
