Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Polonia Nysa		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.4	2.18
	2.64	3.39	2.29
	2.97	3.57	2.1
	2.7	3.1	2.25
	2.84	3.92	2.11	Watch
	3.05	3.52	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)	3.48 ↓ (3.52)	2.14 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Nysa
31.9%

Draw
25.9%

Skra Częstochowa
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25.1%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

23.9%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Nysa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skra Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polonia Nysa - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Jarek S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Golebiowski R. ⚽,
82', 0 - 3, ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).

Polonia Nysa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Skra Częstochowa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Skra Częstochowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Skra Częstochowa has had a series of home games.

Skra Częstochowa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polonia Nysa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Nysa	11	2	2	7	12:24	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Nysa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
26.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Słowianin Wolibórz	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Pniówek Pawłowice - Polonia Nysa	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:4 ✺
01.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Polkowice	1:2 ✺
27.03.26	Kluczbork - Polonia Nysa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLT
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
25.04.26	Skra Częstochowa - Starowice Dolne	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Pniówek Pawłowice - Skra Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:0 ✺
25.03.26	Skra Częstochowa - Miedź Legnica 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.10.25	Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Nysa	2:2

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