Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Polonia Warsaw		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.6
	2.4	3.45	2.68	Watch
	2.52	3.5	2.79
	2.4	3.71	2.65	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.63
	2.46	3.4	2.72	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.37)	3.4 ↓ (3.43)	2.67 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
38.3%

Draw
27.2%

Śląsk Wrocław
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Polonia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Kuchta M. (G) 20. Brasido D. 3. Salihu H. 16. Budnicki J. 97. Janasik P. 26. Gnaase D. 7. Vega D. 23. Skrabb S. 19. Vasin N. 17. Dadok R. 9. Zjawinski L.	25. Szromnik M. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 5. Ba L. 44. Malec M. 16. Kurowski K. 15. Yriarte J. 7. Samiec-Talar P. (C) 14. Mokrzycki M. 8. Llinares M. 91. Banaszak P. 11. Marjanac L.
Substitutes
30. Cisse S. 99. Durmus I. 5. Hoxhallari E. 70. Klukowski A. 90. Kostorz K. 10. Mroz M. 44. Piotrowski B. 1. Sandach A. (G)	77. Ciucka A. 4. Dijakovic M. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 10. Jambor T. 47. Klimek A. 38. Markowski D. 27. Rosiak M. 24. Sharabura Y. 26. Wojtczak O.
Coaches
Pawlak M.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Marjanac L. ⚽, Yriarte J. (A),
41', Gnaase D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', Llinares M. ↓, Rosiak M. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Marjanac L. ⚽, Matsenko Y. (A),
67', Vasin N. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
67', Dadok R. ↓, Mroz M. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Marjanac L. ⚽, Samiec-Talar P. (A),
73', Mroz M. 🟨,
77', Yriarte J. ↓, Wojtczak O. ↑,
77', Marjanac L. ↓, Jambor T. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Samiec-Talar P. ⚽, Rosiak M. (A),
80', Vega D. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
80', Skrabb S. ↓, Durmus I. ↑,
83', Ba L. ↓, Dijakovic M. ↑,
83', Kurowski K. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
89', Brasido D. ↓, Hoxhallari E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Polonia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Śląsk is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Warszawa: 6.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Warsaw - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
06.04.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
09.03.26	Polonia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLLW
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Division 1
04.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	GKS Tychy - Śląsk Wrocław	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Wisła Kraków	Slask Wroclaw awarded ✺
28.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTW?W

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
26.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.04.13	Polonia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	2:2
07.10.12	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw	2:1
01.04.12	Polonia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	3:0

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