Match Info

Date: 7 October 2022, Friday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)


	Polonia Warsaw		Garbarnia Kraków

	1	X	2
	1.49	4	5.25
	1.6	3.7	4.25
	1.53	4.1	4.7
	1.55	4.27	5.6
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.45	4.4	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)	4.1 ↑ (4)	5.2 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
60.3%

Draw
22.2%

Garbarnia Kraków
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Polonia Warsaw - Garbarnia Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Garbarnia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 12).

Polonia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Garbarnia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Garbarnia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Polonia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Polonia to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 2
02.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - KKS Kalisz	3:2 ✺
24.09.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Radunia Stężyca - Polonia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTW
- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 2
04.10.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0 ✺
30.09.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Radunia Stężyca	3:1 ✺
10.09.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Hutnik	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLW

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