Match Info

Date: 28 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)


	Polonia Warsaw		KKS Kalisz

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.6	3
	1.95	3.35	3.2
	1.97	3.6	3.05
	2	3.73	3.44
	1.91	3.4	3.2
	1.92	3.7	3.24	Watch
	2	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.8)	3.59 ↑ (3.53)	3.19 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
46.4%

Draw
25.2%

KKS Kalisz
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.9%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KKS Kalisz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KKS Kalisz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Polonia Warsaw - KKS Kalisz Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). KKS Kalisz will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Polonia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches KKS Kalisz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Polonia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 2
24.09.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Radunia Stężyca - Polonia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:1 ✺
28.08.22	Hutnik - Polonia Warsaw	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWW
- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
24.09.22	Wisła Puławy - KKS Kalisz	3:1 ✺
18.09.22	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Znicz Pruszków - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
04.09.22	KKS Kalisz - Śląsk Wrocław 2	3:0 ✺
Polish Cup
31.08.22	KKS Kalisz - Widzew Łódź	6:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTLWW

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