The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arka Gdynia 41.6%
Draw 27.2%
Polonia Warsaw 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
28.2%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
28.5%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Arka Gdynia - Polonia Warsaw Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 6th in the Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In recent outings, Arka has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Polonia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Arka has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 1.8:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arka against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:6 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Polonia Warszawa: 6.76% Arka Gdynia: 4.05%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Polonia Warszawa
9
4
2
3
15:12
3
14
12
Arka Gdynia
9
3
2
4
11:11
0
11
Last Results with these Odds
Polonia Warsaw - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.49%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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