Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)


	Polonia Warsaw		Wisła Puławy

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.95	3.15	3.4
	1.99	3.25	3.35
	2.23	3.28	3.3
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	2.02	3.36	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	3.37 (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
45.1%

Draw
28%

Wisła Puławy
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

27.9%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Wisła Puławy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Puławy than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Puławy Predictions

Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Polonia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 2
14.08.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
11.08.22	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
01.08.22	Polonia Warsaw - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1 ✺
23.07.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTTTL
- Wisła Puławy
Polish Division 2
14.08.22	Wisła Puławy - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2 ✺
10.08.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Wisła Puławy	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Wisła Puławy - Radunia Stężyca	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisła Puławy	2:4 ✺
Polish Cup
27.07.22	Radunia Stężyca - Wisła Puławy	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWL

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