Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Pogoń Szczecin II

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.95	3.65
	1.79	4	3.45
	1.78	4.07	3.52	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.4
	1.8	4.32	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.57)	4.03 ↓ (4.31)	3.48 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
51.4%

Draw
22.5%

Pogoń Szczecin II
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

21.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Środa Wielkopolska's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Szczecin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin II's recent form is better than expected.

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Szczecin II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Wilczynski J. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Sarbinowski S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 3 - 0, Koltanski D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 1.

In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sroda	11	8	3	0	33:16	17	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.11.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Noteć Czarnków	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Pogoń Szczecin II
Club Friendly
21.01.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Swit Skolwin	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.11.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Cartusia Kartuzy	5:0 ✺
26.11.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	5:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Wda Świecie - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3
17.04.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:2
23.09.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:3
20.04.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2
22.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:0
06.05.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	6:0
01.10.22	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:0

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