Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Wda Świecie		Pogoń Szczecin II

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.5	2.45
	2.23	3.48	2.7
	2.99	3.67	2.06	Watch
	2.33	3.46	2.53	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.01)	3.54 ↓ (3.63)	2.36 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wda Świecie
35.6%

Draw
25.8%

Pogoń Szczecin II
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

25.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

23.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wda Świecie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wda Świecie's performance.

Pogoń Szczecin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Szczecin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Wda Świecie - Pogoń Szczecin II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Kalitta M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, Jaskolski J. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Wda Świecie has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pogoń Szczecin II's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pogoń Szczecin II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pogoń Szczecin II will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wda Świecie won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wda Świecie won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Wda Świecie	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Wda Świecie - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Wda Świecie - Flota Świnoujście	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wda Świecie	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	Wda Świecie - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWLW
- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
02.11.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Flota Świnoujście	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.03.25	Wda Świecie - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:2
11.08.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Wda Świecie	3:2
25.11.18	Pogoń Szczecin II - Wda Świecie	4:1
09.06.18	Wda Świecie - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:0
18.11.17	Pogoń Szczecin II - Wda Świecie	1:1

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