Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 5

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Lokomotyv Stadium (Poltava)


	Poltava		Viktoriya Sumy

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.27	2.99	2.9
	2.4	3.24	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.75
	2.34	3	2.94
	2.35	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.56)	3.08 ↓ (3.14)	2.84 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
38.8%

Draw
29.4%

Viktoriya Sumy
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

30.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Viktoriya Sumy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Voskonyan V. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. 15. Danylenko V. (C) 7. Galenkov D. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 14. Marusych M. 20. Misyura Y. 8. Odaryuk V. 5. Pidlepych V. 44. Plakhtyr D. 9. Shcherbak D.	32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 10. Knysh D. 17. Korokhov E. 5. Kravchuk Y. 11. Lebedenko O. 77. Mashtalir S. 8. Palamar R. 29. Ryabyi A. 45. Sasovskyi M. 33. Ulyanov D. (C) 15. Yevpak M.
Substitutes
30. Chervinskyi D. 3. Khodulya I. 39. Opanasenko Y. 11. Perebora A. 12. Savenkov A. 24. Shapovalov S. 10. Streltsov Y. 27. Tymenko V. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G) 88. Vivdych O.	18. Boyko M. 70. Cheglov M. 19. Danylyuk A. 1. Klimov G. (G) 4. Kurelekh V. 16. Novotryasov A. 96. Nych N. 25. Sharay S. 22. Shpyryonok A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Ryabyi A. 🟨,
15', Danylenko V. 🟨,
30', Marusych M. 🟨,
32', Kravchuk Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Perebora A. ⚽,
85', Korokhov E. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: )).

Poltava is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Viktoriya in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Poltava have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Poltava won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Poltava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
31.08.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Poltava	0:0 ✺
23.08.24	Poltava - Dinaz Vyshgorod	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	UCSA - Poltava	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
12.08.24	Kharkiv - Poltava	5:3 ET ✺
03.08.24	Trostianets - Poltava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWLW
- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
31.08.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Kudrivka	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.24	Mynai - Viktoriya Sumy	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.08.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Viktoriya Sumy	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
12.08.24	Chernihiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Poltava	2:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.11.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Poltava	0:0
03.09.23	Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	2:2

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