Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Zirka Stadium (Kropyvnytsky)

Referee: Firsov M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Poltava		Rukh Lviv

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.45	1.92
	4.15	3.61	1.84
	4.48	3.86	1.77	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.85
	4.29	3.73	1.88	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.87)	3.58 ↓ (3.69)	1.85 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
23.1%

Draw
26.2%

Rukh Lviv
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

25.6%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

25.3%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Rukh Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Poltava - Rukh Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Poltava will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Rukh will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Voskonyan V. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. 12. Savenkov A. 20. Misyura Y. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 44. Plakhtyr D. 15. Danylenko V. (C) 8. Odaryuk V. 21. Doroshenko A. 7. Galenkov D. 14. Marusych M.	1. Gereta Y. (G) 93. Roman V. 23. Kopyna Y. 4. Kholod V. 73. Lyakh R. 17. Slyusar D. 11. Runich V. 63. Sapuga M. (C) 8. Raileanu V. 14. Kvasnytsya I. 99. Faal B.
Substitutes
99. Khakhlyov O. 3. Khodulya I. 2. Kononov M. 1. Minchev M. (G) 24. Shapovalov S. 10. Streltsov Y. 33. Veremiyenko O. 88. Vivdych O. 96. Yermolov D. (G)	77. Almazbekov B. 56. Boyko M. 70. Kasarda N. 75. Kitela A. 28. Klymenko Y. (G) 47. Kvas K. 25. Levytskyi B. 15. Pidgurskyi D. 79. Yasinsky V.
Coaches
Matviychenko P.	Fedyk I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Sapuga M. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Faal B. ⚽, Runich V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Misyura Y. ⚽, Odaryuk V. (A),
54', Raileanu V. ↓, Pidgurskyi D. ↑,
69', Buzhyn M. ↓, Veremiyenko O. ↑,
69', Doroshenko A. ↓, Vivdych O. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Faal B. ⚽,
78', Danylenko V. 🟨,
82', Kvasnytsya I. ↓, Kitela A. ↑,
83', Galenkov D. ↓, Kononov M. ↑,
83', Danylenko V. ↓, Shapovalov S. ↑,
89', Roman V. 🟨,
90+1', Sapuga M. ↓, Boyko M. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 12).

Recent form of Poltava has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rukh's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Rukh is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poltava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
08.12.25	Poltava - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:3 ✺
01.12.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Poltava	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Poltava - LNZ Cherkasy	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Poltava	7:1 ✺
01.11.25	Kryvbas - Poltava	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 52.8 LWLLT
- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
07.12.25	Rukh Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Oleksandriya - Rukh Lviv	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Rukh Lviv - Kudrivka	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Veres Rivne - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
01.08.25	Rukh Lviv - Poltava	2:1

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