Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Polvorín		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.88
	3.79	3	1.97
	3.87	3.13	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (4.43)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	1.93 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Polvorín
23.8%

Draw
29.4%

Bergantiños
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.9%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

25.8%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergantiños might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergantiños could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 0.

Recent matches Polvorín is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bergantiños is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Polvorín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bergantiños is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.02.24	Arosa - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Polvorín - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Betanzos - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Polvorín - Silva SD	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Estradense - Polvorín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTTL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.02.24	Bergantiños - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Arzúa - Bergantiños	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Bergantiños - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Rápido de Bouzas - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Bergantiños - Viveiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.10.23	Bergantiños - Polvorín	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.04.23	Polvorín - Bergantiños	2:2
18.12.22	Bergantiños - Polvorín	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
13.02.21	Polvorín - Bergantiños	0:1
27.12.20	Bergantiños - Polvorín	1:1
01.12.18	Bergantiños - Polvorín	2:2

Upcoming Matches